BetTurtle Newsletter Saturday 16th April 2016

BetTurtle Newsletter Saturday 16th April 2016

Welcome

Welcome to the BetTurtle Newsletter for Saturday 16th April with the latest racing news, tips and a round up of yesterday's tipping results.
  • Chelmsford (A.W) where the going is Standard and there are 7 races starting at 1:35pm to 5:00pm
  • Thirsk where the going is Soft (Heavy in places) and there are 8 races starting at 1:45pm to 5:45pm
  • Ayr where the going is Soft-good to soft in places and there are 8 races starting at 1:50pm to 5:50pm
  • Bangor-On-Dee where the going is Soft and there are 7 races starting at 2:15pm to 5:35pm
  • Nottingham where the going is Soft-good to soft in places and there are 7 races starting at 4:50pm to 7:55pm
  • Wolverhampton (A.W) where the going is Standard and there are 7 races starting at 6:10pm to 9:10pm

Racing News

View Our Daily Newsletter for today's racing news >>

Yesterday's Results

WINNER: We had a successful Each Way Value Bet with Mic Milano priced at 7/1.
WINNERS: We had 0/0 successful back bets and 2/5 successful lay bets.
WINNERS: The website had 9 winners, 5 seconds and 7 thirds from the 40 races we tipped in. Winners included: Mic Milano 7/1, Gully'S Edge 9/2.

Win Value Bet Results

NB Ayr 4:15 Notnowsam 4th 11/4 - tracked leaders, ridden before 4 out, weakened from 2 out
Southwell 4:40 Riddlestown 15/8 - chased leaders, weakened quickly 4 out, tailed off and pulled up before next
NAP Southwell 7:40 Boyhood 3rd 3/1 - tracked leaders, ridden over 1f out, kept on same pace

Each Way Value Bet Results

Ballinrobe 5:55 Mic Milano 1st 7/1 - tracked leaders on outer, moderate 3rd 3 out, closer 3rd next, ridden in 2nd 2f out, led narrowly approaching last, strongly pressed at last, kept on under pressure run-in, all out near line
Dundalk 7:35 Midnitemudcrabs 7th 4/1JF - rear of mid-division, 7th halfway, pushed along over 2f out, ridden inside final furlong, no impression, kept on one pace

Today's Tips

Channel 4 Racing Tips

Chelmsford (A.W) 2:10 Follow Beftred On Twitter John Porter Stakes (Group 3) (1) 4yo+ View BetTurtle Racecard
DARTMOUTH Ran well at Kempton in November in Listed event. Open to more improvement.
Ayr 2:25 Jordan Electrics Ltd Future Champion Novices' Chase (Grade 2) (1) 5yo+ View BetTurtle Racecard
BRISTOL DE MAI Had looked a horse with potential before disappointing at Cheltenham. Can make amends today.
Chelmsford (A.W) 2:40 Betfred TV Fred Darling Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) (1) 3yo View BetTurtle Racecard
MARENKO Won well at Kempton on return and can come on for the run and be in the mix.
Ayr 3:00 QTS Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (1) 4yo+ View BetTurtle Racecard
CLONDAW WARRIOR Winner at Fairyhouse last time and more improvement feasible. We recommend an each way saver on Cloudy Dream Won on handicap debut and open to further improvement.
Chelmsford (A.W) 3:15 Betfred World Snooker Starts Today Greenham Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) (1) 3yo View BetTurtle Racecard
TASLEET Just beaten in Group 3 at Newmarket when last seen. More to come.
Ayr 3:35 Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Listed Race) (1) 5yo+ View BetTurtle Racecard
ALWAYS ON THE RUN Hatrick bid today and should go close.
Chelmsford (A.W) 3:50 Betfred Download The Mobile App Spring Cup (Handicap) (2) 4yo+ View BetTurtle Racecard
GABRIAL'S KAKA Won this race in 2014 and should put up a bold show.
Ayr 4:10 Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (1) 5yo+ View BetTurtle Racecard
HEATHFIELD Won over hurdles last time and should run well. We recommend an each way saver on Gold Futures Lightly race this season and should be in prime condition today.

Win Value Tips

Our value bets highlight the horses we think have the best chance of winning at value prices (typically 2/1+).  Our NAP is the bet we are most confident with and NB is our next best selection at prices better than odds on. The Lay Of The Day is the horse we think represents poor value and has the most realistic chance of being beaten today.
NAP Thirsk 4:05 Reflektor (IRE) 5/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
Ran well on handicap debut at Pontefract recently and more to come.
Ayr 5:20 Oldgrangewood 3/1 View BetTurtle Racecard
Makes handicap debut and should improve for it.
NB Nottingham 7:55 Baron Bolt 9/4 View BetTurtle Racecard
Won easily on handicap debut and more to come.

Each Way Value Tips

Our each way bets are horses at decent prices (5/1+) we think can go close to winning.
Bangor-On-Dee 3:20 Wymeswold 7/1 View BetTurtle Racecard
Hasn't run since November win, but holds sound prospects in this race.
Nottingham 4:50 Sir Geoffrey (IRE) 6/1 View BetTurtle Racecard
Has been running well on the all weather and given another chance to reproduce all weather form having disappointed on turf last time.
Nottingham 6:25 Nietzsche 13/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
Remains a maiden, but has hinted at ability and worth a small interest.

Back or Lay Tips

We review the chances of today's short priced runners with a view to backing or laying them. Our NAP is the bet we are most confident with and NB is our next best selection at prices better than odds on. The Lay Of The Day is the horse we think represents poor value and has the most realistic chance of being beaten today.
BACK Chelmsford (A.W) 1:35 Taqdeer (IRE) 1/1 View BetTurtle Racecard
Ran well on debut at Wolverhampton for top connections. Should improve and take this.
LAY Chelmsford (A.W) 2:40 Besharah (IRE) 7/4 View BetTurtle Racecard
Short price on seasonal return with a number of unexposed rivals in opposition.
LAY Thirsk 3:30 Kelinni (IRE) 15/8 View BetTurtle Racecard
Race fit, but fully exposed and may find one or two of these improve past him.
LAY Chelmsford (A.W) 3:50 Power Game 6/4 View BetTurtle Racecard
Won at course last time, but down in trip and higher in weights and needs to improve further to take this. Worth opposing at such a short price.
LAY Chelmsford (A.W) 4:25 Great Return 15/8 View BetTurtle Racecard
May need this run on debut up against a couple of rivals with race experience.
LAY Bangor-On-Dee 5:05 Global Dream 15/8 View BetTurtle Racecard
7lbs higher than highest winning mark and has it to do.
LAY OF THE DAY Thirsk 5:15 General Alexander (IRE) 6/4 View BetTurtle Racecard
7 race maiden and looks difficult to win with.
LAY Ayr 5:20 Alcala (FR) 15/8 View BetTurtle Racecard
Worthy favourite, but short priced against a few unexposed rivals who may make a race of it.
BACK Nottingham 5:55 September Stars (IRE) 4/6 View BetTurtle Racecard
Once raced having ran respectably at Doncaster in October. Stable are in great form and can strike on seasonal debut.
LAY Wolverhampton (A.W) 7:10 Mr Red Clubs (IRE) 6/4 View BetTurtle Racecard
Totally exposed and hasn't won in past 21 starts. 

Winning Money With BetTurtle Racecards

We think our race cards are brilliant (we may be a little bit biased) and we are determined to help everyone that uses BetTurtle to learn their power. Here are a few handy tips to increase your chances of profit.
  1. The Horseshoes help you filter the best horses in the race. In general, too much RED and you should avoid the horse. The exceptions are for horses from Shrewd trainers (Gold Stars next to their name), hot trainers or jockeys (names with RED backgrounds) and horses that have attracted market support (GREEN horseshoe).
  2. The horseshoes may change through the racing day, as the vibes and markets change. Click on the STATS button and select the RATINGS tab for a live summary view of the horseshoes and a set of rosettes that show the horses we think are most likely to win at that moment in time based on form, current odds and racecourse vibes.
  3. Watch out for Shrewd Trainers (Gold Stars next to their names) , as they are trainers who have a habit of winning at decent odds in certain types of races.
  4. In the main, avoid cold trainers and jockeys (names with BLUE backgrounds) unless there is market support (GREEN market horseshoe).
  5. Be wary of our win tips if the market horseshoe is RED.
  6. Click the STATS and FORM buttons to see a wealth of information that can help you further.
  7. Hot trainers and jockeys (names with RED backgrounds) are enjoying an unusually high winner strike rate in the past few weeks and should always be considered.
  8. Provide us feedback by mailing us at feedback@betturtle.com

Puzzle Of The Day

Here's where we challenge you to see if you can use the tools we provide in BetTurtle to find the winner in this race, a race we think could spring a big price surprise as we have doubts about the favourite at this morning's prices. Mail us your thoughts/selection feedback@betturtle.com or tweet us @betturtle
Another weak favourite found yesterday! We have been proved correct 39 from 51 times since we started this feature. Yesterday's weak favourite selection Apterix (FR) finished 2nd at 11/4F.  Hopefully some of you found the winner, Nine Altars at 11/2.

Today's Puzzle Race Is Ayr 1:50

View Ayr 1:50 >>

 Some clues to consider: The current favourite in the race is Vivaldi Collonges (FR) who at this morning's prices is 5/2. Steps up in class having won last time out and 4lbs higher than last winning mark. Are there any less exposed, better handicapped or classier horses in the race? Turtle Hint:  Click here for the race card and click the STATS button and select HORSE to see what horses are better treated or less exposed. Mail us feedback@betturtle.com or tweet us @betturtle your thoughts/selection.

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