BetTurtle Newsletter Sunday 24th April 2016

BetTurtle Newsletter Sunday 24th April 2016

Welcome

Welcome to the BetTurtle Newsletter for Sunday 24th April with the latest racing news, tips and a round up of yesterday's tipping results.

  • Thirsk where the going is Good and there are 8 races starting at 1-50pm to 5-20pm
  • Musselburgh where the going is Good and there are 7 races starting at 2-00pm to 5-00pm
  • Gowran Park where the going is Good and there are 8 races starting at 2-10pm to 5-40pm

Racing News

View Our Daily Newsletter for today's racing news >>

Yesterday's Results

WINNERS: We had 2/2 successful back bets and 5/8 successful lay bets.
WINNERS: Our Channel 4 Racing tips had 0 winners, 2 seconds and 1 thirds from the 6 races we tipped in.
WINNERS: The website had 8 winners, 6 seconds and 5 thirds from the 47 races we tipped in. Winners included: Poet's Beauty 6/1.

Win Value Bet Results

NAP Ripon 2:05 Bonnie Arlene 4th 7/2 - towards rear and outpaced, kept on inside final furlong, never dangerous
NB Doncaster 7:35 Esteemable 4th 7/2 - tracked leader, ridden over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong
Wolverhampton 8:20 Qaffaal 3rd 6/5F - tracked leaders, went 2nd 8f out, challenged over 2f out, every chance inside final furlong, 3rd and held towards finish

Each Way Value Bet Results

Doncaster 7:05 Buying Trouble 10th 11/2 - towards rear, ridden 2f out, never dangerous
Wolverhampton 9:20 Togetherwecan 9th 12/1 - mid-division, ridden over 2f out, no headway

Today's Tips

Win Value Tips

Our value bets highlight the horses we think have the best chance of winning at value prices (typically 2/1+).  Our NAP is the bet we are most confident with and NB is our next best selection at prices better than odds on. The Lay Of The Day is the horse we think represents poor value and has the most realistic chance of being beaten today.
NAP Musselburgh 3-00 Lopes Dancer (IRE) 2/1 View BetTurtle Racecard
Close 2nd on seasonal debut at Pontefract and this lightly raced sort can progress with Keiron Fallon an interesting jockey booking.
Musselburgh 3-30 Moonshine Ridge (IRE) 5/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
Has won last 3 on all weather and can hopefully make it a quick double returned to the turf for the Alan Swinbank/Keiron Fallon combination (we have tipped Lopes Dancer in 3.00)
NB Gowran Park 4-40 Beechmount Whisper (IRE) 3/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
Has been placed in top 3 in last 9 races and won at Leopardstown over this trip last time. Another good run expected.

Each Way Value Tips

Our each way bets are horses at decent prices (5/1+) we think can go close to winning.

Back or Lay Tips

We review the chances of today's short priced runners with a view to backing or laying them. Our NAP is the bet we are most confident with and NB is our next best selection at prices better than odds on. The Lay Of The Day is the horse we think represents poor value and has the most realistic chance of being beaten today.
LAY Thirsk 1-50 Never In Doubt 3/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
No wins in 3 attempts and very short price up against some unexposed horses.
LAY Musselburgh 2-00 Sayedaati Saadati (IRE) 15/8 View BetTurtle Racecard
Holds Derby entry, but makes seasonal return and may prefer further. 
LAY Gowran Park 2-10 Waitaki (IRE) 15/8 View BetTurtle Racecard
Remains a maiden after 3 runs and up against some unexposed rivals.
LAY Musselburgh 3-30 Argent Knight 15/8 View BetTurtle Racecard
Won on all weather last time. Up a further 6lbs returned to turf and a very short price to repeat that win. Worth finding an alternative.
LAY Gowran Park 3-40 Discipline 3/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
Won a maiden easily last time. Steps up in class for a stable who have won this race 4 times in last 10 seasons. Short enough price for a horse that needs to show considerable improvement up against a number of seasoned rivals.
LAY Musselburgh 4-00 Noodles Blue Boy 15/8 View BetTurtle Racecard
Has a poor strike rate in this class and on this going and worth opposing up 7lbs since winning at this course in September.
LAY OF THE DAY Gowran Park 4-10 Etched (IRE) 3/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
Beaten in all 3 starts and up against a number of unexposed types today, so worth opposing at such a short price.
LAY Gowran Park 5-10 Ebediyin (IRE) 10/11 View BetTurtle Racecard
Favourite when beaten in a Listed Race last time and has it to prove today up against a couple of interesting horses from top yards.
LAY Gowran Park 5-40 Sean O'Casey (IRE) 15/8 View BetTurtle Racecard
Beaten by 23 lengths at Cork last time and whilst improvement likely up against other unexposed types and more experienced rivals.

Winning Money With BetTurtle Racecards

We think our race cards are brilliant (we may be a little bit biased) and we are determined to help everyone that uses BetTurtle to learn their power. Here are a few handy tips to increase your chances of profit.
  1. The Horseshoes help you filter the best horses in the race. In general, too much RED and you should avoid the horse. The exceptions are for horses from Shrewd trainers (Gold Stars next to their name), hot trainers or jockeys (names with RED backgrounds) and horses that have attracted market support (GREEN horseshoe).
  2. The horseshoes may change through the racing day, as the vibes and markets change. Click on the STATS button and select the RATINGS tab for a live summary view of the horseshoes and a set of rosettes that show the horses we think are most likely to win at that moment in time based on form, current odds and racecourse vibes.
  3. Watch out for Shrewd Trainers (Gold Stars next to their names) , as they are trainers who have a habit of winning at decent odds in certain types of races.
  4. In the main, avoid cold trainers and jockeys (names with BLUE backgrounds) unless there is market support (GREEN market horseshoe).
  5. Be wary of our win tips if the market horseshoe is RED.
  6. Click the STATS and FORM buttons to see a wealth of information that can help you further.
  7. Hot trainers and jockeys (names with RED backgrounds) are enjoying an unusually high winner strike rate in the past few weeks and should always be considered.
  8. Provide us feedback by mailing us at feedback@betturtle.com

Puzzle Of The Day

Here's where we challenge you to see if you can use the tools we provide in BetTurtle to find the winner in this race, a race we think could spring a big price surprise as we have doubts about the favourite at this morning's prices. Mail us your thoughts/selection feedback@betturtle.com or tweet us @betturtle
Unfortunately our weak favourite Gwendolyn won yesterday at 10/3F. 

Today's Puzzle Race Is Thirsk 4-20

View Thirsk 4-20 >>

 Some clues to consider: The current favourite in the race is Surround Sound who at this morning's prices is 2/1. Has failed to win in last 9 starts and is 0 from 9 on this going. Are there any less exposed, better handicapped or classier horses in the race? Turtle Hint:  Click here for the race card and click the STATS button and select HORSE to see what horses are better treated or less exposed. Mail us feedback@betturtle.com or tweet us @betturtle your thoughts/selection.

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