BetTurtle Newsletter Monday 2nd May 2016

BetTurtle Newsletter Monday 2nd May 2016

Welcome

Welcome to the BetTurtle Newsletter for Monday 2nd May with the latest racing news, tips and a round up of yesterday's tipping results.

  • Warwick where the going is Good and there are 8 races starting at 12:30pm to 4:20pm
  • Windsor where the going is Good and there are 8 races starting at 1:40pm to 5:45pm
  • Beverley where the going is Good and there are 8 races starting at 1:45pm to 5:50pm
  • Curragh where the going is Good and there are 8 races starting at 1:50pm to 5:50pm
  • Bath where the going is Good-Firm and there are 7 races starting at 1:55pm to 5:25pm
  • Down Royal where the going is Good and there are 7 races starting at 2:05pm to 5:30pm
  • Kempton where the going is Good and there are 8 races starting at 2:10pm to 6:05pm

Racing News

View Our Daily Newsletter for today's racing news >>

Yesterday's Results

WINNER: We had a successful NAP win with Taqdeer priced at 15/8F (advised at 5/2).
WINNERS: We had 1/1 successful back bets and 2/5 successful lay bets.
WINNERS: Our Channel 4 Racing tips had 2 winners, 0 seconds and 1 thirds from the 6 races we tipped in. Winners included: Rideonastar 6/1, Minding 11/10F.
WINNERS: The website had 8 winners, 6 seconds and 4 thirds from the 27 races we tipped in. Winners included: Rideonastar 6/1, Taqdeer 15/8F.

Win Value Bet Results

NB Sligo 5:10 Burma Star 4th 11/2 - held up, a little keen, pushed along over 3f out, 5th 2f out, soon no impression, no extra and eased inside final furlong
NAP Newmarket 5:25 Taqdeer 1st 15/8F (advised at 5/2) - awkwardly away in rear, headway and switched right over 1f out, quickened to lead inside final furlong, ridden and ran on

Each Way Value Bet Results

Hamilton 5:05 Cadmium 8th 5/1 - held up mid-division, pushed along and weakened over 1f out

Today's Tips

Win Value Tips

Our value bets highlight the horses we think have the best chance of winning at value prices (typically 2/1+).  Our NAP is the bet we are most confident with and NB is our next best selection at prices better than odds on. The Lay Of The Day is the horse we think represents poor value and has the most realistic chance of being beaten today.
NB Warwick 1:30 Herons Heir (IRE) 10/3 View BetTurtle Racecard
A hurdle and bumper winner starts chasing career in a handicap for the in form Skelton team and can go well given a clear round of jumping.
Kempton 5:00 Christmas Twenty (IRE) 9/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
Unexposed and ran well over this trip when finishing a close 2nd at Wetherby last time. Can build on that.
NAP Windsor 5:10 Walpole (IRE) 11/10 View BetTurtle Racecard
Won both starts in a National Hunt Bumper and a Wolverhampton all weather race latest. Can improve for the in form Hugo Palmer/Jamie Spencer combination.

Each Way Value Tips

Our each way bets are horses at decent prices (5/1+) we think can go close to winning.
Windsor 2:15 Stellarta 8/1 View BetTurtle Racecard
Won last two on all weather and is a course and distance winner. Can continue good run back on turf.
Curragh 4:45 Stone Mountain (IRE) 11/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
Lightly raced and won at Dundalk over this trip latest. Up further in the weights, but can improve for the Aiden O'Brien yard.
Beverley 5:15 Affectionate Lady (IRE) 13/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
Has been running well last two starts, winning and finishing a close up second. Can go close in this race.

Back or Lay Tips

We review the chances of today's short priced runners with a view to backing or laying them. Our NAP is the bet we are most confident with and NB is our next best selection at prices better than odds on. The Lay Of The Day is the horse we think represents poor value and has the most realistic chance of being beaten today.
BACK Warwick 1:00 Dusky Legend 1/3 View BetTurtle Racecard
Has been 2nd in last 5 starts. Has an excellent chance to break that sequence here with Richard Johnson in the saddle.
LAY Curragh 1:50 Peace Envoy (FR) 1/1 View BetTurtle Racecard
Won on all weather at Dundalk on debut and more to come. Was outpaced in that race suggesting further may be needed and is up against a number of unexposed rivals on turf debut. Worth taking on with those doubts.
LAY OF THE DAY Kempton 2:45 Days Of Heaven (FR) 6/4 View BetTurtle Racecard
At one time promising hurdler who has struggled in graded company this season. Makes chasing debut today and plenty short enough.
LAY Curragh 3:00 Blue De Vega (GER) 15/8 View BetTurtle Racecard
Won a Group 3 final start last season and carries a penalty for that win here. Has to prove fitness after 191 day absence and may have targets later on in the season.
BACK Kempton 3:20 Boy In A Bentley (IRE) 4/5 View BetTurtle Racecard
2nd in all 4 starts, but ran well until tiring final 2 furlongs last time. This drop back in trip should be ideal and can make amends.
LAY Beverley 3:30 Jacbequick 15/8 View BetTurtle Racecard
Ran 2nd at course last time and looked unlucky. Up in grade today and will find this tougher. Stable not in best of form either.
LAY Windsor 4:00 Somethingthrilling 3/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
Easily won a Pontefract maiden in October. Makes seasonal and handicap debut today and may find a lack of experience counts againt her at such short odds.
LAY Curragh 4:10 Found (IRE) 7/4 View BetTurtle Racecard
Looks like a match with Fascinating Rock who beat her at Ascot. May struggle to turn the tables here.
LAY Bath 4:15 Kafoo 11/10 View BetTurtle Racecard
Best form on all weather and needs to prove liking for turf. Disconcerting that stable are applying first time blinkers today.
LAY Curragh 5:20 Rose De Pierre (IRE) 6/4 View BetTurtle Racecard
Has a top class pedigree, but short enough in the market on debut and plenty of unexposed rivals in opposition.
LAY Windsor 5:45 Lapilli 4/5 View BetTurtle Racecard
Odds on debut winner on all weather. Needs to improve for handicap and turf debut and plenty of interesting opposition to take him on with.

Winning Money With BetTurtle Racecards

We think our race cards are brilliant (we may be a little bit biased) and we are determined to help everyone that uses BetTurtle to learn their power. Here are a few handy tips to increase your chances of profit.
  1. The Horseshoes help you filter the best horses in the race. In general, too much RED and you should avoid the horse. The exceptions are for horses from Shrewd trainers (Gold Stars next to their name), hot trainers or jockeys (names with RED backgrounds) and horses that have attracted market support (GREEN horseshoe).
  2. The horseshoes may change through the racing day, as the vibes and markets change. Click on the STATS button and select the RATINGS tab for a live summary view of the horseshoes and a set of rosettes that show the horses we think are most likely to win at that moment in time based on form, current odds and racecourse vibes.
  3. Watch out for Shrewd Trainers (Gold Stars next to their names) , as they are trainers who have a habit of winning at decent odds in certain types of races.
  4. In the main, avoid cold trainers and jockeys (names with BLUE backgrounds) unless there is market support (GREEN market horseshoe).
  5. Be wary of our win tips if the market horseshoe is RED.
  6. Click the STATS and FORM buttons to see a wealth of information that can help you further.
  7. Hot trainers and jockeys (names with RED backgrounds) are enjoying an unusually high winner strike rate in the past few weeks and should always be considered.
  8. Provide us feedback by mailing us at feedback@betturtle.com

Puzzle Of The Day

Here's where we challenge you to see if you can use the tools we provide in BetTurtle to find the winner in this race, a race we think could spring a big price surprise as we have doubts about the favourite at this morning's prices. Mail us your thoughts/selection feedback@betturtle.com or tweet us @betturtle
Unfortunately our weak favourite Oiche Mhaith Boy won yesterday at 6/5F. 

Today's Puzzle Race Is Kempton 5:35

View Kempton 5:35 >>

 Some clues to consider: The current favourite in the race is Dunraven Storm (IRE) who at this morning's prices is 9/2. Hasn't won in last 12 starts. Are there any less exposed, better handicapped or classier horses in the race? Turtle Hint:  Click here for the race card and click the STATS button and select HORSE to see what horses are better treated or less exposed. Mail us feedback@betturtle.com or tweet us @betturtle your thoughts/selection.

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