BetTurtle Newsletter Wednesday 18th May 2016

BetTurtle Newsletter Wednesday 18th May 2016

Welcome

Welcome to the BetTurtle Newsletter for Wednesday 18th May with the latest racing news, tips and a round up of yesterday's tipping results.

  • Ayr where the going is Good to firm and there are 8 races starting at 1:30pm to 5:25pm
  • Bath where the going is Firm-good to firm in places and there are 8 races starting at 1:50pm to 5:50pm
  • Warwick where the going is Good-good to firm in places and there are 7 races starting at 2:10pm to 5:35pm
  • Southwell where the going is Good-good to firm in places and there are 7 races starting at 5:40pm to 8:45pm
  • Kempton (A.W) where the going is Standard and there are 7 races starting at 5:55pm to 8:55pm
  • Dundalk (A.W) where the going is Standard and there are 7 races starting at 6:05pm to 9:05pm

Racing News

View Our Daily Newsletter for today's racing news >>

Yesterday's Results

WINNER: We had a successful Win Value Bet with Slemy priced at 6/1JF.
WINNER: We had a successful Each Way Value Bet with Le Vagabond priced at 6/1 (advised at 8/1).
WINNER: We had a successful Lay Of The Day with The Moore Factor priced at 4/1.
WINNERS: We had 0/1 successful back bets and 1/1 successful lay bets.
WINNERS: The website had 13 winners, 5 seconds and 2 thirds from the 34 races we tipped in. Winners included: Slemy 6/1JF, Le Vagabond 6/1, Pea Shooter 3/1F.

Win Value Bet Results

NAP Lingfield 3:25 Cryptic 8th 7/4F - last to break, soon in mid-division, ridden and not much room over 1f out, never dangerous
Wetherby 6:40 Slemy 1st 6/1JF - held up towards rear, headway over 2f out, switched right over 1f out, kept on to lead towards finish

Each Way Value Bet Results

Wetherby 7:40 All You 5th 5/1JF - in rear, headway over 2f out, kept on inside final furlong
Killarney 8:20 Le Vagabond 1st 6/1 (advised at 8/1) - mid-division, pushed along approaching straight, improved to dispute 2nd 1f out, led inside final furlong and stayed on best

Today's Tips

Win Value Tips

Our value bets highlight the horses we think have the best chance of winning at value prices (typically 2/1+).  Our NAP is the bet we are most confident with and NB is our next best selection at prices better than odds on.
NAP Warwick 3:55 The Tourard Man (IRE) 5/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
Has won and placed second in two runs at this course and can build on impressive Exeter win last time for in form yard.
Ayr 5:25 Ghostly Arc (IRE) 5/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
All the way winner at Musselburgh latest and can go well again off of a 6lbs penalty.
NB Dundalk (A.W) 7:35 Strada Di Carsoli 2/1 View BetTurtle Racecard
Won over course and distance last time and now resorts to handicaps. Remains lightly raced and can improve again.

Each Way Value Tips

Our each way bets are horses at decent prices (5/1+) we think can go close to winning.
Warwick 2:45 Cooper's Friend (IRE) 15/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
Ran well on chasing debut at this course on last run and the extra half mile trip should suit. Can go close with that initial experience under his belt and the in form Aiden Coleman taking over in the saddle.
Southwell 7:45 What A Game (IRE) 7/1 View BetTurtle Racecard
0 from 5, but encouraging signs on latest 3rd at Sedgefield in March. With Tom Scudamore an interesting jockey booking and first run on good ground, is worth a second look.
Kempton (A.W) 7:55 Dutch Law 15/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
The Hughie Morrison yard struck form with a vengance yesterday with 2 winners from 4 runners having been on the cold trainer list, so worth following for now. This horse ran well on seasonal debut and would have finished closer if he hadn't been hampered at a vital stage of the race. With improved fitness and better luck in running can go close.

Back or Lay Tips

We review the chances of today's short priced runners with a view to backing or laying them. The Lay Of The Day is the horse we think represents poor value and has the most realistic chance of being beaten today.
BACK Warwick 2:10 Midnight Tour 4/6 View BetTurtle Racecard
Impressive a Ludlow on last run and now 2 from 4 over hurdles. Can go in again.
BACK Bath 2:55 Girling (IRE) 11/8 View BetTurtle Racecard
Has finished second on both starts and should be winning this in order to justify Oaks entry. 
BACK Bath 3:30 Blenheim Warrior 1/1 View BetTurtle Racecard
0 from 4, but showed improved form first time handicapping in an apprentice race. More to come with in form Andrea Atzeni taking over in the saddle.
BACK Warwick 4:30 Ink Master (IRE) 5/4 View BetTurtle Racecard
Won easily at Ludlow last time and should make it three in a row with a repeat performance.
BACK Warwick 5:35 River Wylde (IRE) 4/5 View BetTurtle Racecard
Ran 3rd on debut in a bumper at Haydock. With improvement highly likely for the Nicky Henderson yard should be up to taking this.
BACK Southwell 5:40 Mustmeetalady (IRE) 4/5 View BetTurtle Racecard
Useful hurdler and should go well, with a clear round on chasing debut.
LAY OF THE DAY Dundalk (A.W) 6:05 Rock In Peace (IRE) 15/8 View BetTurtle Racecard
Short priced on debut and up against a number of unexposed rivals. 
LAY Dundalk (A.W) 6:35 A Likely Story (IRE) 2/1 View BetTurtle Racecard
0 from 6 and dropped to maiden company. Taking on in the hope that one of the unexposed horses can improve past him.
LAY Southwell 6:45 Avispa 15/8 View BetTurtle Racecard
Hasn't won for over 2 years and 9 runs. Percentage call is to take on.
LAY Southwell 7:15 Boy In A Bentley (IRE) 11/8 View BetTurtle Racecard
Fell at the last when in command last time, but up against a Nicky Henderson opponent today and may not have things all his own way.
BACK Southwell 7:15 Beware The Bear (IRE) 2/1 View BetTurtle Racecard
Won at Bangor on 4th start, further improvement likely and can go close under a penalty for the Nicky Henderson yard.
LAY Kempton (A.W) 7:55 Important Point (USA) 6/4 View BetTurtle Racecard
Makes handicap debut having won a Wolverhampton maiden. May lack the experience needed to win a competitive handicap and worth taking on at such a short price.
LAY Southwell 8:45 Magic Bullet (IRE) 2/1 View BetTurtle Racecard
Ran respectably on debut in a Warwick bumper and can improve for the Nicky Henderson yard who has a fine record in these events. However, there are few unexposed rivals in today's race that may spring a surprise.

Winning Money With BetTurtle Racecards

We think our race cards are brilliant (we may be a little bit biased) and we are determined to help everyone that uses BetTurtle to learn their power. Here are a few handy tips to increase your chances of profit.
  1. The Horseshoes help you filter the best horses in the race. In general, too much RED and you should avoid the horse. The exceptions are for horses from Shrewd trainers (Gold Stars next to their name), hot trainers or jockeys (names with RED backgrounds) and horses that have attracted market support (GREEN horseshoe).
  2. The horseshoes may change through the racing day, as the vibes and markets change. Click on the STATS button and select the RATINGS tab for a live summary view of the horseshoes and a set of rosettes that show the horses we think are most likely to win at that moment in time based on form, current odds and racecourse vibes.
  3. Watch out for Shrewd Trainers (Gold Stars next to their names) , as they are trainers who have a habit of winning at decent odds in certain types of races.
  4. In the main, avoid cold trainers and jockeys (names with BLUE backgrounds) unless there is market support (GREEN market horseshoe).
  5. Be wary of our win tips if the market horseshoe is RED.
  6. Click the STATS and FORM buttons to see a wealth of information that can help you further.
  7. Hot trainers and jockeys (names with RED backgrounds) are enjoying an unusually high winner strike rate in the past few weeks and should always be considered.
  8. Provide us feedback by mailing us at feedback@betturtle.com

Puzzle Of The Day

Here's where we challenge you to see if you can use the tools we provide in BetTurtle to find the winner in this race, a race we think could spring a big price surprise as we have doubts about the favourite at this morning's prices. Mail us your thoughts/selection feedback@betturtle.com or tweet us @betturtle
Another weak favourite found yesterday! We have been proved correct 51 from 71 times since we started this feature. Yesterday's weak favourite selection Bank Of Gibraltar finished 6th at 5/1.  Hopefully some of you found the winner, Classical Rose at 8/1.

Sorry No Puzzle Race Today

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