BetTurtle Newsletter Thursday 18th August 2016

BetTurtle Newsletter Thursday 18th August 2016

Welcome

Welcome to the BetTurtle Newsletter for Thursday 18th August with the latest racing news, tips and a round up of yesterday's tipping results.

  • York where the going is Good-Firm and there are 6 races starting at 1:55pm to 4:55pm
  • Chepstow where the going is Good-Firm and there are 7 races starting at 2:10pm to 5:35pm
  • Stratford where the going is Good and there are 7 races starting at 2:20pm to 5:45pm
  • Fontwell where the going is Good-Firm and there are 7 races starting at 5:00pm to 8:00pm
  • Hamilton where the going is Good and there are 7 races starting at 5:10pm to 8:10pm
  • Killarney where the going is Good-Firm and there are 7 races starting at 5:20pm to 8:20pm

Racing News

View Our Daily Newsletter for today's racing news >>

Yesterday's Results

WINNERS: We had 1/1 successful back bets and 5/9 successful lay bets.
WINNERS: Our Channel 4 Racing tips had 1 winners, 0 seconds and 0 thirds from the 4 races we tipped in. Winners included: Idaho 5/6F.
WINNERS: The website had 9 winners, 10 seconds and 7 thirds from the 40 races we tipped in. Winners included: Skylander 5/1, Rainbow Rebel 4/1, Pointillism 4/1.

Win Value Bet Results

NAP Killarney 6:20 Mcguigan 5th 5/2F - mid-division, 6th halfway, ridden in 5th over 1f out, kept on one pace inside final furlong
Killarney 6:50 Assume 5th 7/4F - tracked leaders, 3rd halfway, ridden to challenge over 1f out, under pressure and kept on inside final furlong, no impression close home
NB Kempton 8:40 Mister Bob 6th 13/2 - towards rear, never a factor

Today's Tips

Channel 4 Racing Tips

York 1:55 GOFFS PREMIER YEARLING STAKES (2) 2YO View BetTurtle Racecard
MISS INFINITY
Has won 3 times in 5 starts with latest a Listed win in France. Can improve further from a reasonable draw for the in form Mark Johnston who is double handed in this race with Rusumaat his other runner.
York 2:30 SKY BET LOWTHER STAKES (GROUP 2) (FILLIES) (1) 2YO View BetTurtle Racecard
QUEEN KINDLY
According to the morning prices, the Frankel filly Fair Eva is already home and hosed in this race having impressed in a Group 3 last time at Royal Ascot. That race hasn't thrown up any winners since from 4 runs and the form may not be all that it seems. Therefore, worth taking on. The value in the race may be in the form of another Frankel filly Queen Kindly. Beaten less than a length into 4th in the Albany at Royal Ascot (race has thrown up 3 winners since) and won easily at Catterick latest. 
York 3:05 CLIPPER LOGISTICS STAKES (HANDICAP) (2) 3YO+ View BetTurtle Racecard
JAILAWI
Has won 3 and finished 2nd in 3 in his 8 starts to date and open to improvement. Latest run at Goodwood can be ignored, as was poorly drawn and was hampered and heavily eased near end. On earlier form has a decent chance. 
York 3:40 DARLEY YORKSHIRE OAKS (BRITISH CHAMPIONS SERIES) (GROUP 1) (FILLIES & MARES) (1) 3YO+ View BetTurtle Racecard
SEVENTH HEAVEN
Aiden O'Brien has 4 runners in this race and has won it twice in the past 10 years. Found and Seventh Heaven represent his best chance of further success and the latter is the one we are siding with in the hope she can build on her recent Irish Oaks victory.

Win Value Tips

Our value bets highlight the horses we think have the best chance of winning at value prices (typically 2/1+).  Our NAP is the bet we are most confident with and NB is our next best selection at prices better than odds on.
NAP Fontwell 6:30 Unify 7/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
Was heavily gambled, but failed to land the odds on stable debut over hurdles last week and is of interest on chase debut in what looks a weak race.
NB Hamilton 7:10 Jocks Wa Hae (IRE) 11/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
Has won twice round here and looks of interest upped to 12 furlongs for the first time and may improve.

Back or Lay Tips

We review the chances of today's short priced runners with a view to backing or laying them. The Lay Of The Day is the horse we think represents poor value and has the most realistic chance of being beaten today.
BACK Chepstow 2:10 Diable D'Or (IRE) 4/9 View BetTurtle Racecard
Clear form choice and should win.
LAY Stratford 2:20 Bagad Bihoue (FR) 1/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
Easy winner of both hurdles starts, but carries double penalty and will find this tougher.
LAY York 2:30 Fair Eva 4/9 View BetTurtle Racecard
According to the morning prices, the Frankel filly Fair Eva is already home and hosed in this race having impressed in a Group 3 last time at Royal Ascot. That race hasn't thrown up any winners since from 4 runs and the form may not be all that it seems. Therefore, worth taking on at such a short price. 
LAY Stratford 4:40 Monsieur Gibraltar (FR) 2/1 View BetTurtle Racecard
Has failed to win in 5 attempts over fences and fell at last latest in a Listed event when coming under pressure.
LAY Stratford 4:40 Net Work Rouge (FR) 2/1 View BetTurtle Racecard
Has thrown away winning chances last twice and stable resort to a visor. Not trustworthy.
LAY Hamilton 5:10 Big Time Dancer (IRE) 11/8 View BetTurtle Racecard
Easy all the way winner at Beverley on handicap debut and could follow up under a penalty. May not get things his own way up front today and inexperienced claimer on board.
LAY Stratford 5:15 Victor Leudorum (IRE) 15/8 View BetTurtle Racecard
Won easily over hurdles at this course latest. Has disappointed in last 4 attempts over fences and has to be taken on.
LAY Killarney 5:20 Birds Of Prey (IRE) 2/1 View BetTurtle Racecard
Has failed to win in both starts and is already gelded. Plenty of unexposed rivals to take him on with.
LAY Fontwell 5:30 Spring Steel (IRE) 6/4 View BetTurtle Racecard
Up 14lbs for 2 wins in July and will find this tougher.
LAY Fontwell 6:00 Satellite (IRE) 10/11 View BetTurtle Racecard
May need run having been off the track since April.
LAY Fontwell 6:30 Pied Du Roi (IRE) 7/4 View BetTurtle Racecard
1 win in 16 so the percentage call is to take on at such short odds.
LAY OF THE DAY Hamilton 7:40 Apres Midi (IRE) 3/2 View BetTurtle Racecard
Placed in all 3 starts and beaten favourite at Carlisle latest. Not one to be taking short odds on.
LAY Fontwell 8:00 Deise Diamond (IRE) 1/1 View BetTurtle Racecard
Bought from Ireland for £46K and is the clear form choice based on two NHF runs. Up against a couple of interesting debutants who may spring a surprise.

Winning Money With BetTurtle Racecards

We think our race cards are brilliant (we may be a little bit biased) and we are determined to help everyone that uses BetTurtle to learn their power. Here are a few handy tips to increase your chances of profit.
  1. The Horseshoes help you filter the best horses in the race. In general, too much RED and you should avoid the horse. The exceptions are for horses from Shrewd trainers (Gold Stars next to their name), hot trainers or jockeys (names with RED backgrounds) and horses that have attracted market support (GREEN horseshoe).
  2. The horseshoes may change through the racing day, as the vibes and markets change. Click on the STATS button and select the RATINGS tab for a live summary view of the horseshoes and a set of rosettes that show the horses we think are most likely to win at that moment in time based on form, current odds and racecourse vibes.
  3. Watch out for Shrewd Trainers (Gold Stars next to their names) , as they are trainers who have a habit of winning at decent odds in certain types of races.
  4. In the main, avoid cold trainers and jockeys (names with BLUE backgrounds) unless there is market support (GREEN market horseshoe).
  5. Be wary of our win tips if the market horseshoe is RED.
  6. Click the STATS and FORM buttons to see a wealth of information that can help you further.
  7. Hot trainers and jockeys (names with RED backgrounds) are enjoying an unusually high winner strike rate in the past few weeks and should always be considered.
  8. Provide us feedback by mailing us at feedback@betturtle.com

 

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