Using Statistics To Find The Winner In A Handicap Horse Race
Handicap horse races are the most common type of race run in the UK.
There are approximately 6,700 handicap horse races run in Britain each year.
Each horse is weighted to give an 'equal' chance to win by the official handicapper. As a result they are highly competitive and the betting odds are often generous.
In this article we provide a statistical analysis of data using the BetTurtle Form Study website that can provide bettors with a betting edge in handicap races.
Please note the % in the tables below provide a winners to runners strike rate %. The higher the strike rate % the better.
BetTurtle Horseshoes
BetTurtle's secret ingredient are the horseshoe ratings. The ratings are calculated using artificial intelligence techniques to rate each horse in a race using fitness, ability, race condition, market and tipster vibes.
Fitness Horseshoe
Focus on green and amber rated runners.
Ability Horseshoe
Focus on green and amber rated runners.
Conditions Horseshoe
While this factor is not as influential as the other horseshoes, focus on green and amber rated runners.
Vibes Horseshoe
Focus on green and amber rated runners.
Market Horseshoe
Focus on green and amber rated runners.
Red Horseshoes
Focus on runners with a maximum of one red horseshoe.
Amber Horseshoes
Focus on runners with two or more amber horseshoes.
Green Horseshoes
Focus on runners with 2 or more green horseshoes.
Other Statistics To Consider
While the horseshoes provide a powerful betting edge, there are other factors that can be considered.
Speed Rank
Top ranked speed rated horses have a distinct advantage. However, horses in the top 6 should be closely considered.
Horse Type
BetTurtle rates horses by horse type.
Horses rated as improving, in form or unexposed have a distinct advantage over horses rated sleeper and exposed.
Well Handicapped
Horses deemed well handicapped in terms of the rating (green or amber) the official handicapper has allocated (OR) have a distinct advantage over horses with a negative (red) rating.
Conclusion
It is clear that, BetTurtle horseshoes and statistics can provide bettors with a betting edge over other punters using the analysis contained within this article.
BetTurtle also provides race filters and automated systems tools that make it quick and easy to quickly identify selections using the criteria contained within this article.
You can find out more and subscribe here.
